GolfHos

General => The Cantina => Topic started by: Aske on November 13, 2008, 03:09:56 PM



Title: [Politics/Econ] Correlation, Causation, and the Markets...
Post by: Aske on November 13, 2008, 03:09:56 PM
now not even I am trollish enough to just post this and claim it's 100% truly cause/effect, in a vacuum, yada yada....

but it IS interesting...

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2008/10/14/opinion/20081014_OPCHART.html



Title: Re: [Politics/Econ] Correlation, Causation, and the Markets...
Post by: Blader on November 13, 2008, 03:23:43 PM
all it proves is that the dems are the party of irrational exuberance


Title: Re: [Politics/Econ] Correlation, Causation, and the Markets...
Post by: stroh on November 13, 2008, 03:25:43 PM
all it proves is that the dems are the party of irrational exuberance

Is that like spontaneous copulation?


Title: Re: [Politics/Econ] Correlation, Causation, and the Markets...
Post by: gleek on November 13, 2008, 03:46:20 PM
all it proves is that the dems are the party of irrational exuberance

Is that like spontaneous copulation?

Spontaneous copulation can certainly cause (rational) exuberance.


Title: Re: [Politics/Econ] Correlation, Causation, and the Markets...
Post by: MFAWG on November 13, 2008, 06:45:12 PM
Bu-Bu-Bu-Bu-Bu-Bu-Bu-Bu-Bu-Bu-.

Oh, forget it. It's not even fun any more. Back under the rocks they crawled out from. The Shrub has cost so-called conservatives at least a generation. Good riddance.


Title: Re: [Politics/Econ] Correlation, Causation, and the Markets...
Post by: Blader on November 13, 2008, 06:58:12 PM
all it proves is that the dems are the party of irrational exuberance

Is that like spontaneous copulation?

Spontaneous copulation can certainly cause (rational) exuberance.

It is only 'rational' moments before the moment is consumated.

As this study suggests (http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/117987197/abstract?CRETRY=1&SRETRY=0), what happens afterwards is not always rational.


Title: Re: [Politics/Econ] Correlation, Causation, and the Markets...
Post by: stroh on November 14, 2008, 06:29:41 AM
Anybody have a guess what that 10k would be if a guy hit the dot com and tech stocks perfectly through the '90s?

Hindsight, and perfect in/out timing of course.  Probably impossible to figure given the vast araay of choices and the timing that would have been required.

30 Billion?  More?