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How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?

 
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hobbit
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Re: How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?
« Reply #15 on: January 21, 2008, 11:03:50 PM »

I wish I could be as upbeat has Hobbit and Ben Stein, but things aren't looking too good right now.


Try not to fixate on the above - slowdowns and recessions (If we should we drop into one) are usually pretty short term.

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birdymaker
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Re: How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?
« Reply #16 on: January 22, 2008, 06:18:40 AM »

I wish I could be as upbeat has Hobbit and Ben Stein, but things aren't looking too good right now.


Try not to fixate on the above - slowdowns and recessions (If we should we drop into one) are usually pretty short term.



unless you live in the rust belt. Cry
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Aske
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Re: How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?
« Reply #17 on: January 22, 2008, 06:47:29 AM »

I wish I could be as upbeat has Hobbit and Ben Stein, but things aren't looking too good right now.


Try not to fixate on the above - slowdowns and recessions (If we should we drop into one) are usually pretty short term.



they're also usually not caused by 4-5 years of GDP growth almost exclusively attributable to :

hyperinflated housing bubble
hyperinflated health care
hyperinflated energy costs


nor have they been in the wake of:

massive mcjob replacement of the lower-middle offshored class tech-job.
« Last Edit: January 22, 2008, 06:55:27 AM by Aske » Logged Return to Top

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Aske
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Re: How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?
« Reply #18 on: January 22, 2008, 06:55:50 AM »

anyways, already down 400+
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Fuzzy
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Re: How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?
« Reply #19 on: January 22, 2008, 07:37:16 AM »

Figures. My company's stock is up a few pennies this morning.
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birdymaker
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Re: How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?
« Reply #20 on: January 22, 2008, 07:40:09 AM »

fed steps in and artificially re inflates it.
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gleek
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Re: How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?
« Reply #21 on: January 22, 2008, 07:42:21 AM »

Figures. My company's stock is up a few pennies this morning.

Emergency rate cut by the Fed. Otherwise, today would have been a complete whitewash by the bears, and it still could be tomorrow after the people have time to think about whether or not the Fed's actions are enough.
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Aske
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Re: How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?
« Reply #22 on: January 22, 2008, 07:50:38 AM »

Figures. My company's stock is up a few pennies this morning.

Emergency rate cut by the Fed. Otherwise, today would have been a complete whitewash by the bears, and it still could be tomorrow after the people have time to think about whether or not the Fed's actions are enough.

if asian markets drop 4-5 more %  overnight  this rate cut will be both a wasteful joke and the true autocatalyst to the impending stagflation.
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gleek
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Re: How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?
« Reply #23 on: January 22, 2008, 08:20:50 AM »

Yikes! I haven't seen such steep drops like this in a bank stock since Fall of 1998.



Citigroup is now trading near what it was on 24 Jul 2002, when the DJIA sank to 7700 (i.e. lowest-level in the Dubya Era).
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Re: How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?
« Reply #24 on: January 22, 2008, 08:22:53 AM »

Yikes! I haven't seen such steep drops like this in a bank stock since Fall of 1998.



Citigroup is now trading near what it was on 24 Jul 2002, when the DJIA sank to 7700 (i.e. lowest-level in the Dubya Era).

basically looks like the  inflation adjusted  DJIA overall from the bu$hco run.
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Russia has invaded a sovereign neighboring state and threatens a democratic government elected by its people. Such an action is unacceptable in the 21st century.
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Aske
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Re: How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?
« Reply #25 on: January 22, 2008, 08:24:58 AM »

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Spanky
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Re: How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?
« Reply #26 on: January 22, 2008, 10:07:02 AM »

Looks like it's trying to come back. Most likely people will start selling this afternoon, those that did not Firday and this morning.
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hobbit
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Re: How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?
« Reply #27 on: January 22, 2008, 11:57:52 AM »

I wish I could be as upbeat has Hobbit and Ben Stein, but things aren't looking too good right now.


Try not to fixate on the above - slowdowns and recessions (If we should we drop into one) are usually pretty short term.



they're also usually not caused by 4-5 years of GDP growth almost exclusively attributable to :

hyperinflated housing bubble
hyperinflated health care
hyperinflated energy costs


nor have they been in the wake of:

massive mcjob replacement of the lower-middle offshored class tech-job.


First let me qualify - its not that I'm 'upbeat' - its just that I'm not panic'd or too worried about it.  Understanding that corrections/slowdows/recessions are part of the cycle of things, it doesn't scare me.  Now, if I was a mortgage broker I may feel differently (jobs at risk n' all).



So, you think this current trend is unique.  That we've never dealt with problems such as these before.  And you're right.  However, every other time we've had a slowdown/correction, it was the result of a combination of problems that we had never dealt with before.  And everytime there were people screaming that we could not deal with the problems.  That 'this time' it was really going to fall apart.

Being new is nothing new.  The market is resilient.

The downside - I do not think we've hit bottom yet.  With pending layoffs in the mortgage/banking industry, consumer spending will continue to slow.  But within 10-12 months of that bottom, we're usually on our way to recovery, slow as it may be.  Is this a 10 month problem?  Not sure.  But I'm willing to place bets on the market 3-5 years out.

Matter of fact, I'm making an appointment right now to fund my Roth for the year.  Buy low n' all  Wink

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gleek
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Re: How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?
« Reply #28 on: January 22, 2008, 12:02:24 PM »

Matter of fact, I'm making an appointment right now to fund my Roth for the year.  Buy low n' all  Wink

They also say "don't try to catch a falling knife."  Grin
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gleek
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Re: How much will DJIA drop tomorrow?
« Reply #29 on: January 22, 2008, 12:40:45 PM »

Wow! I'm actually up for the day (so far *knock on wood*). The market is tricksy!

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