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[sm_scratch]

 
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Uisce Beatha
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[sm_scratch]
« on: February 11, 2008, 07:25:21 AM »

My wife and I were discussing the odds of pulling four blue and one green M&Ms out of the bag twice in a row.  Blah, blah, blah... so on and so forth.  Then she brings, "I don't like blue ones."

Bangs Head
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"If you're darker than a caramel, Reverend Al speaks for you." - Aasif Mandvi
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stroh
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Re: [sm_scratch]
« Reply #1 on: February 11, 2008, 08:09:00 AM »

LOL.  That's good stuff.

Peanut?

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Uisce Beatha
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Re: [sm_scratch]
« Reply #2 on: February 11, 2008, 08:16:11 AM »


Peanut?


Absolutely.  The plain ones suck.   Wink
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"If you're darker than a caramel, Reverend Al speaks for you." - Aasif Mandvi
"Well, you can tell by the way I use my walk, I'm a woman's man: no time to talk." - stroh
spacey
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Re: [sm_scratch]
« Reply #3 on: February 11, 2008, 08:20:26 AM »

Van Halen surrenders.
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stroh
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Re: [sm_scratch]
« Reply #4 on: February 11, 2008, 08:25:19 AM »

Where does she stand on the green ones?  Naughty
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Aske
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Re: [sm_scratch]
« Reply #5 on: February 11, 2008, 08:28:35 AM »

goddamit, now im going to get to work and try to figure out those odds



what size is the bag?
what amount of the bag is eaten before you start this 'trial' ?
« Last Edit: February 11, 2008, 08:31:41 AM by Aske » Logged Return to Top

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Russia has invaded a sovereign neighboring state and threatens a democratic government elected by its people. Such an action is unacceptable in the 21st century.
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gleek
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Re: [sm_scratch]
« Reply #6 on: February 11, 2008, 08:31:07 AM »

goddamit, now im going to get to work and try to figure out those odds


If the bag contains only 4 blue ones and 1 green one, I'd say the odds are 1 : 1.
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Aske
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Re: [sm_scratch]
« Reply #7 on: February 11, 2008, 08:32:42 AM »

goddamit, now im going to get to work and try to figure out those odds


If the bag contains only 4 blue ones and 1 green one, I'd say the odds are 1 : 1.

if the bag contains 5 total and the 'odds' to be calculated are pulling  4b:1g    2x in a row   I think the odds are 0  Disgusted Devil 

see O.P. more closely.  Devil
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Quote
Russia has invaded a sovereign neighboring state and threatens a democratic government elected by its people. Such an action is unacceptable in the 21st century.
--  Chimpy McFlightsuit, CEO of Bu$hco Industries of 'Merka
Clive
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Re: [sm_scratch]
« Reply #8 on: February 11, 2008, 08:34:30 AM »

Did she pull them out of the bag before or after the fumble was recovered by a player from Team A, who then voluntarily ran into his own end zone and was tackled?
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Uisce Beatha
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Re: [sm_scratch]
« Reply #9 on: February 11, 2008, 08:36:33 AM »

goddamit, now im going to get to work and try to figure out those odds



what size is the bag?
what amount of the bag is eaten before you start this 'trial' ?

Hell if I know.  Not the great big one but not the normal "candy bar" size either. 

Bag was 1/3 gone.

We didn't start the trial.  It just sorta happened to us.  Like rain or sour milk.
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"If you're darker than a caramel, Reverend Al speaks for you." - Aasif Mandvi
"Well, you can tell by the way I use my walk, I'm a woman's man: no time to talk." - stroh
gleek
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Re: [sm_scratch]
« Reply #10 on: February 11, 2008, 08:37:22 AM »

goddamit, now im going to get to work and try to figure out those odds


If the bag contains only 4 blue ones and 1 green one, I'd say the odds are 1 : 1.

if the bag contains 5 total and the 'odds' to be calculated are pulling  4b:1g    2x in a row   I think the odds are 0

Not if you put the M&Ms back in the bag.
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Aske
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Re: [sm_scratch]
« Reply #11 on: February 11, 2008, 08:38:02 AM »

goddamit, now im going to get to work and try to figure out those odds


If the bag contains only 4 blue ones and 1 green one, I'd say the odds are 1 : 1.

if the bag contains 5 total and the 'odds' to be calculated are pulling  4b:1g    2x in a row   I think the odds are 0

Not if you put the M&Ms back in the bag.

 Shocked  i like it.
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Quote
Russia has invaded a sovereign neighboring state and threatens a democratic government elected by its people. Such an action is unacceptable in the 21st century.
--  Chimpy McFlightsuit, CEO of Bu$hco Industries of 'Merka
Uisce Beatha
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Get me the tank!

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Re: [sm_scratch]
« Reply #12 on: February 11, 2008, 08:39:35 AM »

Nobody ever puts them back in the bag.   Hungry
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"If you're darker than a caramel, Reverend Al speaks for you." - Aasif Mandvi
"Well, you can tell by the way I use my walk, I'm a woman's man: no time to talk." - stroh
gleek
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E chu ta!

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Re: [sm_scratch]
« Reply #13 on: February 11, 2008, 08:43:52 AM »

goddamit, now im going to get to work and try to figure out those odds


If the bag contains only 4 blue ones and 1 green one, I'd say the odds are 1 : 1.

if the bag contains 5 total and the 'odds' to be calculated are pulling  4b:1g    2x in a row   I think the odds are 0

Not if you put the M&Ms back in the bag.

 Shocked  i like it.


Even if the 5 pieces weren't the only ones left, you'd still have to put them back into to calculate the odds of doing it twice in a row. Otherwise, the 1 green could have been the last one that was left in the bag, in which case your probability of doing it a 2nd time is zero.
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Aske
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Re: [sm_scratch]
« Reply #14 on: February 11, 2008, 08:47:26 AM »

see, i dont see it that way, i was just going with the time evolution (time being pieces left in bag at event sample) of the probability of snagging 4:1

(and yes, i was going to write a program to do this)
 Devil
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Quote
Russia has invaded a sovereign neighboring state and threatens a democratic government elected by its people. Such an action is unacceptable in the 21st century.
--  Chimpy McFlightsuit, CEO of Bu$hco Industries of 'Merka
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